Which party will win the 2026 U.S. House election in Oklahoma's 4th District?
1.6 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202611g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 23 ott 2026, 17:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeRepublican Party — Tom Cole 97.1%+1.6ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto6 ott 26, 06:13 UTC4 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsWill Tom Cole win the Oklahoma 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Jena Nelson win the Oklahoma 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
This market resolves to the party of the winner of the 2026 election for U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district — the term beginning January 3, 2027.
- Which round counts: the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner).
- Primaries do not count.
- Party rule: the winner's party is the party on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot.
- A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate.
- Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "the named outcome", even if they say they would caucus with a major party.
