Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo one goes to space 85.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto26 mar 24, 17:51 UTC21 apr 69, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
The person must actually go to space.
- It doesn't count if it's an edge case where they technically left the atmosphere but the experience was basically just being really high in the air, or something like that.
- This market considers all three people to be trustworthy and will accept a low standard of proof (in addition to their word) that the space journey occured.
- This market resolves to "the named outcome" if there is no activity on Manifold from each of @Tumbles, @Mira_, and @strutheo for six consecutive months.
- Alt accounts count as activity if moderators are reasonably certain the accounts do in fact belong to the same person.
