Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Christopher Luxon 93.7%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto31 ott 23, 22:37 UTC1 nov 26, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?
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Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
Resolves to all leaders of a party represented in Parliament.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume totale
- 957,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 760,7K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day??
- Manifold Markets quota Christopher Luxon al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day??
- Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to all leaders of a party represented in Parliament.