Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOct-Dec 2026 41.1%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+20.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto1 dic 25, 22:29 UTC31 dic 26, 22:26 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
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KalshiRegole
Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.
- If it's only available for a weekend, then gone again, that still counts.
- Even for just one evening.
- If the autonomy is ambiguous, that still counts.
- This question is much more lenient than some of those Austin Tesla questions.
- If the cars are COMPLETELY human-driven at first (unlikely), with humans in the drivers seats & operating the steering wheels, that won't count.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 944,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Volume totale
- 620K €
- Volume 24h
- 536K €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 514,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- Manifold Markets quota Oct-Dec 2026 al 41% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- When will Waymo launch in San Diego? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will Waymo launch in San Diego??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Waymo said their taxi service would come to San Diego's downtown area in 2026.