When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km?
SpaceTecnologia9a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2035 or earlier 40.2%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto3 lug 24, 23:14 UTC31 dic 35, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Virgin Galactic launch their next commercial Delta-class SpaceShip
KalshiWill Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessRegole
Virgin Galactic recently retired their SpaceShipTwo vehicle in order to develop their new Delta-class of vehicles - a similar spacecraft derived from SpaceShipTwo but designed to have a higher capacity (6 passengers instead of 4) and to be much easier to reuse
- They're currently aiming for a maiden flight in 2026
- Resolution criteria
- For the flight to count, the Delta-class ship must reach an altitude of >70km and safely land with at least one human on board
- A Delta-class ship is any more advanced ship derived from SpaceShipTwo
- (It does not necessarily need to be referred to as a 'Delta' ship to count)
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 131,5K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume totale
- 103,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,9K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 996,1K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 altri esiti
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km??
- Manifold Markets quota 2035 or earlier al 40% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km??
- When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2035.
- Come viene liquidato When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >70km??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Virgin Galactic recently retired their SpaceShipTwo vehicle in order to develop their new Delta-class of vehicles - a similar spacecraft derived from SpaceShipTwo but designed to have a higher capacity (6 passengers instead of 4) and to be much easier to reuse