Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAfter 2028 / not by close 43.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto6 lug 26, 17:22 UTC1 gen 29, 07:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an artificial womb deliver a live human baby by ... ?
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.
- "Placed in the system" means the patient is physically supported in an artificial amniotic-fluid environment with gas exchange/nutrition support through an umbilical-cord/artificial-placenta circuit, rather than conventional ventilator-only NICU care.
- This is about partial ectogenesis / neonatal support for extremely premature humans, not full pregnancy from conception.
- Resolves based on credible public evidence, such as:
- a ClinicalTrials.gov listing showing the study has begun and a participant has been enrolled/treated,
- an FDA, CHOP, Vitara Biomedical, hospital, or peer-reviewed publication confirming first human use,
Mercati aperti
Exchange
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- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.2pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
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- $75,250 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
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- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.5pt100%
+8 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen??
- Manifold Markets quota After 2028 / not by close al 44% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen??
- When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato When will the first human EXTEND artificial womb trial happen??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to the calendar year in which the first living human extremely premature infant/fetus is publicly reported to have been placed in CHOP/Vitara Biomedical's EXTEND artificial womb / "biobag" system, or a substantially equivalent CHOP/Vitara-licensed system, as part of an authorized human clinical trial or approved clinical study.