Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualebefore Mar 31, 2028 79%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo30 dic 25, 11:58 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg run for President in 2028
Manifold MarketsPete Buttigieg will be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028.
Manifold MarketsWill Pete Buttigieg announce a run for President before 2028?
PredictItWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his run for presidency for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Pete Buttigieg say during MS NOW: The Weeknight?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- For each answer, resolve YES if he makes an official public announcement that she is running for U.S. president in the 2028 election on or before that answer’s cutoff; resolve NO otherwise. “before [date]” is treated as on or before 11:59:59 pm Eastern Time on that date.
- e.g. if the announcement occurs on Dec 15, 2027, the "the named outcome" AND "the named outcome" options resolve YES.
- Acceptable evidence (use the earliest timestamp across sources):
- FEC Form 2 (Statement of Candidacy) filed for a 2028 presidential run.
- An explicit statement by him or an authorized spokesperson that he is running for president in 2028 (e.g., on his verified social accounts or official site).
