Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocrat 60%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto2 set 26, 19:41 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kansas?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Carolina?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Mississippi?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in New Jersey?
PredictItWho will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Republican: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Republican Party wins the presidency.
- Democrat: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Democratic Party wins the presidency.
- Third-Party: Resolves YES if any candidate who is not the nominee of the Republican or Democratic Party (including Independents, Libertarians, Green Party candidates, etc.) wins the presidency.
- If the election is delayed, the market will remain open until the election is resolved.
- If the election is canceled, or the office of the President is abolished or structured such that there is no single winning candidate, the market will resolve as N/A.
