Quali sono le probabilità attuali per United States gains new territory before China or Russia?

Manifold Markets quota No al 74.8% al 30 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve United States gains new territory before China or Russia?

United States gains new territory before China or Russia dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 74.8%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 51 minuti fa

In ritardo

13 gen 26, 21:57 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if the United States formally acquires new territory before either China or Russia does. "New territory" means land or maritime areas that become part of U.S. sovereign territory through treaty, purchase, cession, occupation, or other internationally recognized means of acquisition.
This includes:
Acquisition of land territory (e.g., Greenland, Panama Canal Zone, Canadian territory)
Expansion of maritime claims beyond previously recognized boundaries (e.g., extended continental shelf claims)
Formal annexation of currently independent or foreign-controlled areas