Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAt least 44% 93.2%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+15.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto11 ott 26, 00:50 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Troy Jackson get 50% or more in the first round of the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson runs behind Hannah Pingree by...? (First Round)
PolymarketWill Troy Jackson win his hometown?
Manifold MarketsTroy Jackson wins 2026 US Senate election in Maine?
Manifold MarketsWill AOC endorse or appear at a campaign event for Troy Jackson?
Manifold MarketsWill Troy Jackson win the Maine general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Troy Jackson ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places
- For the first round
- Resolves YES for all correct answers if the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Troy Jackson in the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election is between the answer to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints.
- Resolves same as Kalshi.
- Resolves YES for all correct answers
