This is my 47th day. I have 16 referrals to Manifold Markets. Will I have 20 by August 4, 2026 (8/4/26)?

One-Off

Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Questo mercato si è risolto: Yes (58.7%)

Risolto: 31 lug 2026, 13:15

Risoluzione verificata dal provider

CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 58.7%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 13 giorni fa

Obsoleto

9 lug 26, 19:5831 lug 26, 13:15

Trend

Sì

58.7%

41.3%

Regole

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the creator's Manifold Markets account has accumulated 20 or more total referrals by August 4, 2026, at 11:59 PM PDT.
It resolves to NO if the total referral count is 19 or fewer at that deadline.
The creator will resolve this market using the referral stats page on their Manifold account.
The creator has been a Manifold user for 47 days and has successfully referred 16 users to the platform.
They need 4 more referrals to reach their target of 20 by the deadline of August 4, 2026.