Talarico and El-Sayed combined margin of victory of 10% or more?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione11gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 64.3%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 43 minuti fa
22 ott 26, 23:10 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves YES if James Talarico (texas senate) and Abdul el sayed (Michigan senate) combined margin of victory is 10% or more.
- Margin of victory is their vote percent total minus the second place candidates vote percent total.
- If they lose, their margin of victory will be a negative number.
- For example if Talarico wins by 4% and el sayed by 7%, this market will resolve yes.(11% more than 10%)
- If Talarico wins by 3% and el sayed by 3%, this would resolve no (6% less than 10%)
- If Talarico loses by 2% and el sayed wins by 2%, then this would resolve no (-2+2+0, which is less than 10)