Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 06:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 69%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto28 mag 26, 12:42 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be the name of the combined SpaceX / Tesla company in 2028?
Manifold MarketsTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketWill Project Bromo (the Airbus–Leonardo–Thales space merger) be completed by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBART/Caltrain merger by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX and Tesla merge?
Manifold MarketsMPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) and Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) legally complete a corporate merger, acquisition, or combine into a single corporate structure under a unified parent company on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Completed/Closed Transaction Required: A mere announcement of an agreement is not sufficient; the transaction must be legally completed (closed).
- Unified Parent/Holding Structure: If both companies are folded into a newly created holding company where they operate as subsidiaries under the same corporate umbrella, this will resolve the market to YES.
- Exclusions: Joint ventures (such as the "Terafab" Austin semiconductor facility), commercial supply agreements, or technology sharing partnerships do not qualify as a merger for the purpose of this market.
