Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualePat Scott @Stralor 33.4%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
64
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ago 26, 16:44 UTC30 dic 27, 16:14 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
My company is hiring.
- We've mostly given up on traditional application pipelines, there's too much AI spam and lying on resumes.
- Robin Hanson says that hiring is the killer app of prediction markets, so let's try it?
- I work for a growth-stage fintech company innovating new ways to prevent fraud.
- We're based in New York, though most of our employees are fully remote.
- Positions are flexible; we're looking to hire people with a technical bent who are generally competent and excited to solve problems.
Mercati aperti
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]?
- Manifold Markets quota Pat Scott @Stralor al 33% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]?
- Should we hire you? [Job-finding market] dovrebbe risolversi il 30 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Should we hire you? [Job-finding market]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: My company is hiring.