Quali sono le probabilità attuali per On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born??

Manifold Markets quota South America al 34.1% al 20 ottobre 2026.

On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

South America 34.1%

In testa tra 7 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 13 ore fa

Obsoleto

3 apr 24, 18:51 UTC3 apr 74, 03:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

The current pope (Francis) is from Argentina, making him the first pope to be from the named outcome and the first pope from the Southern Hemisphere.

The next several Popes have likely already been born.
In which continent will the first Pope born after 2024-04-03 18:50:00+00 be born?
[image]Respectfully modified from @Bayesian's excellent market: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/on-which-continent-will-the-next-po, in turn respectfully modified from @strutheo's excellent market:
@/strutheo/which-country-will-the-next-pope-fo