Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale35-39 35%-11.0ptIn testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+20.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
18 ott 26, 08:40 UTC8 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsWill the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsWill the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many list seats will the NZ National Party get after the election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
