Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 22 ott 2026, 07:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
National 53%+8.0pt
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ott 26, 08:32 UTC19 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketWill Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour and National combined receive 60.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsSerbia Election: Student List Vote Share?
PolymarketRegole
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list.
- This market will resolve to “Labour” if the Labour Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve to “National” if the National Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the Labour Party in this election.
- Percentages of valid party list votes received by the Labour Party and the National Party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid party list votes each party receives by the sum of all valid party list votes cast in the election.
- This market includes party list votes cast by both the general electorate and the Māori electorate.
