Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 59.9%
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto2 nov 23, 00:34 UTC2 gen 30, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/7790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Washington DC+34.0pt99%
- Houston+26.0pt74%
- Atlanta72%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 102,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 96,6K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- 86° or above78.8%
- 84° to 85°14.4%
- 82° to 83°3.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 44,8K €
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay38%
- Gonzalo-7.0pt23%
- Isaias+5.0pt21%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 11, 2026?
- 80° to 81°48.5%
- 82° to 83°34%
- 78° to 79°10.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 23,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 23,9K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
- 79° to 80°46.1%
- 81° to 82°32.7%
- 78° or below17.3%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 21,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 11, 2026?
- 90° to 91°51.9%
- 88° to 89°27.9%
- 92° to 93°14.4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 20,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 20,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 60% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030??
- [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?