Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato
Questo mercato si è risolto: Yes (91.1%)
Risolto: 5 ago 2026, 19:48
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 91.1%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 giorni fa
Obsoleto
3 ago 26, 21:585 ago 26, 19:48
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes91.1%
No8.900000000000006%
Sì
91.1%
No
8.9%
Regole
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if Jason Arday is no longer employed by the University of Cambridge in any academic capacity (including as a professor, lecturer, or researcher) on or before December 31, 2027.
The market resolves to NO if he remains employed by the University of Cambridge as of December 31, 2027.
Source of Truth: Employment status will be verified using the official University of Cambridge Faculty of Education staff directory or via official statements from the University of Cambridge and major reputable news outlets (such as The Guardian, The Telegraph, or Times Higher Education).
Leaves of Absence: If Professor Arday is on a temporary sabbatical, suspension, or medical leave of absence but remains officially on the university payroll, the market resolves to NO.
Termination/Resignation: If he permanently leaves his role due to resignation, termination, retirement, or transfer to another institution, the market resolves to YES.
Domande frequenti
Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028?
Manifold Markets quota Yes al 91% al 6 agosto 2026.
Quando si risolve Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028?
Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 5 agosto 2026.
Come viene liquidato Jason Arday leaves Cambridge before 2028?
Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria