Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2024 100%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 46 minuti fa
In ritardo7 dic 24, 20:06 UTC1 gen 31, 06:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Insomnia Cookies have declared bankruptcy by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they
- Maintain storefronts branded as Crumbl Cookies or similar ("Crumble" would be acceptable, "Utah Baking Company" would not be) that sells cookies
- Have not filed for bankruptcy protection
- Have not been acquired by another company
- The market will resolve NO for a given year if any of the above criteria are not met, or if Crumbl Cookies ceases operations entirely.
- Resolves YES if they survive through the end of the year.
Mercati aperti
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 184,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,8K €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 21,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3K €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 altri esiti
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive??
- Manifold Markets quota 2024 al 100% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive??
- In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato In which years will Crumbl Cookies continue to survive??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Crumbl Cookies survives as long as they