Previsione della comunità attuale
No 94%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto18 ago 24, 08:57 UTC2 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
In 2030, a majority of experts will look back and agree that there was not significant justification for believing with greater than 90% confidence that Llama 3.1 405 would not provide the foundation for nefarious actors to produce existentially risky artificially intelligent systems.
- Will resolve to a consensus of experts in 2030.
- If no clear data exists that demonstrates the opinion of experts, a poll will be used for resolution.
