If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ott 26, 02:13 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump veto at least 5 bills in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Bitcoin be above $150,000 at the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many bills will Trump veto in 2026?
KalshiWill Congress override Trump's veto?
KalshiRegole
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if Donald Trump vetoes five or more bills or joint resolutions during calendar year 2027, counting regular and pocket vetoes as listed in the U.S. Senate's record of presidential vetoes.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
