If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USA2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98%
Previsori
0
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
7 ott 26, 02:05 UTC3 gen 29, 17:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
Condition: Republicans win a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 3, 2026 elections (at least 218 seats won by Republican Party candidates, counting delegations as certified; independents count for neither party).
- If Democrats or no party win a majority, this market resolves N/A. Resolves YES if the U.S. House adopts at least one article of impeachment against Donald Trump between January 3, 2027 and January 3, 2029 (inclusive).
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- This is one half of a conditional pair; its twin asks the same question if Democrats win the House.
- Comparing the two shows what the market thinks control of the House changes.
