Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJon Ossoff 66%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
45
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mar 25, 01:16 UTC31 dic 28, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift endorse the Democratic candidate again in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic candidate lose any state Kamala Harris won?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketArgentina presidential election winner?
KalshiRegole
A candidate is considered "nominated" if they are officially selected as the Democratic Party’s nominee at the 2028 Democratic National Convention.
- If no convention takes place, the nominee is the candidate listed on enough state ballots as the Democratic nominee to win an electoral majority.
- The market resolves as N/A for all candidates not nominated.
- A candidate is considered "elected" if they win the 2028 U.S. presidential election and secure enough electoral votes to become president, with the resolution based on official results from a reliable source such as the Associated Press, the Federal Election Commission, or the final vote count certified by Congress.
- If a nominated candidate drops out, is disqualified, or otherwise does not participate in the general election, the market resolves as NO for that candidate.
- If the nominee wins the election but does not take office, the market still resolves as YES.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election??
- Manifold Markets quota Jon Ossoff al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election??
- If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato If nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: A candidate is considered "nominated" if they are officially selected as the Democratic Party’s nominee at the 2028 Democratic National Convention.