Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeLabour LOSES next General Election (led by Andy Burnham, using FPTP) 40.8%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 17:38 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Andy Burnham Prime Minister longer than Boris Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK PM by which date?
PolymarketWhat will Andy Burnham say during Prime Minister's Questions?
KalshiWhat will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
PolymarketUK Prime Minister after Andy Burnham
Manifold MarketsRegole
‘Win’ means wins the most seats in parliament.
- I have included as separate scenarios the possibility that he might change the voting system (to something other than FPTP) before the next General Election.