Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 95.7%
Sì 95.7%Previsori
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto4 feb 25, 21:44 UTC2 gen 30, 05:59 UTC
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KalshiBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketRegole
Prediction: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot will complete a 13.1-mile (21.1 km) half marathon in under 2 hours.
- Pass/Fail Criteria:
- The event must be a legitimate half marathon recognized by local race authorities.
- The robot must run on two legs with no external power supply.
- Official chip time or race clock must show under 2:00:00 at the finish line.
- Must be documented by official race organizers or credible local media.
