Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBelow 1:59:30 28.8%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto16 mag 26, 05:54 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In what year will a bipedal robot break the human marathon world record time?
Manifold MarketsWill the SMB1 Any% (NTSC) world record go to 4:54.265 or lower by January 1, 2040?
Manifold MarketsWho will break the 5/5 stranglehold on Super Mario 64 speedrunning and collect the world record bounty?
Manifold MarketsWill Singaporean Farhanna Farid break the female deadlift world record in the 52kg class this year (2026)?
Manifold MarketsBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Polymarket2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiRegole
The performance must meet the criteria to be ratified as a world record by World Athletics.
- Ratification can happen after the end of 2026 as long as the race itself was held before the end of 2026.
- This is a cumulative probability market, meaning all applicable answers will resolve YES, so e.g. if the WR stands at 1:59:15, both "the named outcome" and "the named outcome" will resolve YES.