Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 46.7%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 50 minuti fa
In ritardo10 apr 24, 06:16 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
Manifold MarketsMale oral contraceptives available in the market by the end of 2026?
FutuurEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Lasting means 'present in effective amounts on most teeth', not 'present in any amount on any teeth'.
- Ranges are technically (a, b].
- If a proper study is conducted, will resolve based on that.
- Otherwise, the resolver will attempt collect data to resolve the market.
- Resolution will be based on the informed judgement of the resolver about what best fits the intent.
- Resolver is me by default, or the manifold moderation team if my resolution is disputed.
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 47% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median??
- How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato How long will the Lumina oral probiotic last in your mouth, by median??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Lasting means 'present in effective amounts on most teeth', not 'present in any amount on any teeth'.