Quali sono le probabilità attuali per FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032?

Manifold Markets quota No al 81.9% al 10 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032?

FDA Approves Openwater Cancer Treatment by 2032 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2032.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 81.9%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 ore fa

Obsoleto

14 gen 25, 02:36 UTC2 gen 32, 07:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Openwater (https://openwater.health) has a device that damages cancer cells selectively with ultrasound.

This market will resolve YES if any cancer treatment using Openwater's ultrasound technology is approved by the FDA before January 1, 2032 for one or more cancer indications.
Any FDA approval for treating cancer outside of a clinical trial counts, even if it only covers a small set of patients.
If Openwater's technology gets transferred to another entity, use of that technology will count as long as it involves focused ultrasound.
I have a blog post about the treatment here: https://bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2025/01/13/openwaters-cancer-treatment/