Division of FSB (or whole FSB, or Russia) recognized as terrorist organization by Russia or US or UK or EU or UN by 2030
PoliticaOne-OffGeopoliticaRussia / UcrainaEuropa3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.9%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
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Previsione
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo13 lug 24, 21:23 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation (FSS, FSB, ФСБ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Security_Service) - Russian security agency, successor to KGB.
- Resolves YES when several reputable sources report that government or parliament of Russia(*) or US or UK or EU or UN officially recognizes division of FSB or whole FSB or whole Russia as a terrorist organization.
- The recognition could be a direct proclamation OR inclusion in the list of terrorist organization OR terrorist states.
- Proclamations from other security agencies is not enogh to trigger a YES resolution, it should be political decision by government or parliment, not by some (high ranking) officer or expert.
- Otherwise resolves to NO on January 1st 2030.
- *Russia = Russian Federation or any internationally recognized state, that is official successor to Russian Federation.
