Democrats win at least one of Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20262m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67.1%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto6 gen 26, 00:52 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Senate Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?
PolymarketWill Democrats win Ohio and lose Iowa in the 2026 US senate elections?
Manifold MarketsHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
KalshiRegole
Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.
- Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
- Original prediction: "Democrats win at least one of the Ohio/Iowa/Alaska Senate seats" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
- If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.