Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateTecnologia3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 96.2%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mar 24, 20:14 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will twitter still be called X at the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsDid Elon Musk control the SATANZ0Gpo tripcode, used in 4chan's /pol/ board?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk make 2 or more Twitter(X) posts "today" between 9am to 9pm CST
Manifold MarketsTwitter App Downloads in September
KalshiWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketRegole
"Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.
- If this is not the case, this market will resolve N/A. "Elon Musk is in control of Twitter/X" means that it is still possible for Musk to make arbitrary changes (eg starting Twitter Blue, changing the site's name, adding view/bookmark counts, etc) to the website with almost no obstacles.
- If Musk retains some power over Twitter/X, but others veto some of his decisions in practice, that counts as a NO resolution.
- Situations that would result in this market resolving YES:
- Musk is the outright CEO of Twitter/X
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 180,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 180,1K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 182,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 38,9K €
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 60,4K €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026??
- Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: "Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.