Condition on DPP winning the 2024 election, Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneGeopoliticaCina1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 07:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 79.5%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto12 gen 24, 13:48 UTC31 dic 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Does DPP's non-corporation with China increase the chance of invasion?
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/AmmonLam/condition-on-dpp-winning-the-2024-e-5fa80f0dc747)
- Resolution follows the same criteria as https://manifold.markets/MarlonK/will-china-attempt-to-invade-taiwan
- This market will resolve "yes" if there is a Chinese military attack with the intention to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027.
- This question is answered "No" if there is:
- no military conflict between the two parties
