Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Chuck Grassley dies before 2030??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 56.9% al 25 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Chuck Grassley dies before 2030??

Chuck Grassley dies before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 56.9%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 ore fa

Obsoleto

16 ott 26, 11:45 UTC31 dic 29, 11:00 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Chuck Grassley dies before January 1, 2030, at 12:00 AM UTC.
This market resolves to NO if Chuck Grassley is alive at 12:00 AM UTC on January 1, 2030.
Resolution will be determined by credible reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters) or official statements from Senator Grassley's office or family.
Charles "Chuck" Grassley was born on September 17, 1933, and serves as a U.S. Senator representing Iowa.
First elected to the U.S. Senate in 1980, he is one of the longest-serving members in Congressional history.