California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneBusiness e aziendeMacro ed economiaManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoIn attesa di risoluzione verificata: Appears on ballot in California in 2026
Risolto: 19 ott 2026, 04:34
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Dati al 19 ott 2026, 15:57 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Appears on ballot in California in 202696%
Appears on ballot in Ca2026 and Gavin Newsom endorses voting yes on it2.6%
Does not appear on ballot due to lawsuit15.5%
Does not appear on ballot due to insufficient signatures7.1%
Risultato in attesa
Risultato in attesa
Risultato in attesa
Risultato in attesa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves based on official statements from the govt of California, or major media reporting, that a ballot measure for a one time billionaire tax will appear on the ballot in 2026.
- Must be a one time tax, and target individuals, families, households or family units with net worth or assets over 1b.
- Endorses is a public endorsement.
- Rumours of what he votes for or says he wants behind closed doors is not enough for resolution.
- Resolves to his first endorsement of a side.
- If he endorsed yes or no, would immediately resolve.