Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAppears on ballot in California in 2026 91.7%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto31 dic 25, 07:34 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves based on official statements from the govt of California, or major media reporting, that a ballot measure for a one time billionaire tax will appear on the ballot in 2026.
- Must be a one time tax, and target individuals, families, households or family units with net worth or assets over 1b.
- Endorses is a public endorsement.
- Rumours of what he votes for or says he wants behind closed doors is not enough for resolution.
- Resolves to his first endorsement of a side.
- If he endorsed yes or no, would immediately resolve.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets?
- Manifold Markets quota Appears on ballot in California in 2026 al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets?
- California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato California One Time Billionaire Tax 2026 prop bets?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves based on official statements from the govt of California, or major media reporting, that a ballot measure for a one time billionaire tax will appear on the ballot in 2026.