By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 20 lug 2026, 14:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

UK 33.3%+2.4%

In testa tra 11 esiti

Previsori

192

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 giorni fa

Obsoleto

24 nov 23, 14:041 gen 28, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

UK33%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Trend del volume

$486

19 lug2g di dati20 lug

Mercati Correlati

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

43,8K €

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 64%

POLYMARKET

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

34,7K €

Alibaba: 76%

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

23,6K €

Sì: 4%

POLYMARKET

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan

15,6K €

Chengdu Rongcheng: 49%

KALSHI

Bilibili Gaming vs. Nova Esports

13,7K €

Nova Esports: 52%

KALSHI

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix

7K €

FunPlus Phoenix: 57%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,384.90+0.65%

EthereumETH$1,880.11+1.35%

SolanaSOL$74.89+1.47%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.96%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0735+5.87%

BNBBNB$571.57+1.16%

Notizie Correlate

China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News

Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volumeBlockchain.News

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Chinese Prosecutors Float Treating Crypto Mixer, Privacy Coin Use as Sign of Money LaunderingDecrypt

Regole

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?

ChinaOne-Off1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 20 lug 2026, 14:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

UK 33.3%+2.4%

In testa tra 11 esiti

Previsori

192

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 giorni fa

Obsoleto

24 nov 23, 14:041 gen 28, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

UK33%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)

Trend del volume

$486

19 lug2g di dati20 lug

Mercati Correlati

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

43,8K €

1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5: 64%

POLYMARKET

Best Chinese AI Company end of July?

34,7K €

Alibaba: 76%

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

23,6K €

Sì: 4%

POLYMARKET

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Beijing Guoan

15,6K €

Chengdu Rongcheng: 49%

KALSHI

Bilibili Gaming vs. Nova Esports

13,7K €

Nova Esports: 52%

KALSHI

Wolves Esports vs. FunPlus Phoenix

7K €

FunPlus Phoenix: 57%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,384.90+0.65%

EthereumETH$1,880.11+1.35%

SolanaSOL$74.89+1.47%

XRPXRP$1.10+0.96%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0735+5.87%

BNBBNB$571.57+1.16%

Notizie Correlate

China completes first digital yuan payment to SingaporeCrypto News

Trump’s CLARITY push is now about beating ChinaCrypto News

Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News

Polymarket Taiwan 2026 invasion Yes odds drop to 3.75% on $38.6M volumeBlockchain.News

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Chinese Prosecutors Float Treating Crypto Mixer, Privacy Coin Use as Sign of Money LaunderingDecrypt

Regole

Note that this question DOES NOT include importance via physical chip manufacturing and supply chain, which is why Taiwan and The Netherlands are not listed.

To avoid confusion and get at the question being asked, that is explicitly excluded.
If unclear, will resolve via best available consensus mechanism.
Will pick one winner even if unclear.
Will add additional countries upon reasonable request.
Motivation: Claim in Economist that UAE might be third most important (https://twitter.com/shashj/status/1727991912567583052)