Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 58.7%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo27 ago 23, 05:27 UTC2 gen 31, 07:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBridge built connecting the main islands of New Zealand through 2040
Manifold MarketsRoad bridge to Sicily open by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Maryland award the Key Bridge main span contract by summer 2027?
KalshiLargest Company end of September?
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRegole
At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track
- Connecting each sides mainland, not islands
- (Although stopovers or steps at islands are fine)
- You'll be able to travel above water not flying between the countries
- Update 2025-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarification:
- The project must have no remaining required unfunded or unplanned steps at the time of resolution.
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 351,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 351,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 altri esiti
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Illinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030?
- Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track