Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Biden passes away in a foreign country or in flight on Air Force One by end 2026?

Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Biden passes away in a foreign country or in flight on Air Force One by end 2026

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 96%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 21 ore fa

Obsoleto

16 ott 23, 20:17 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC

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Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

If on a flight, must happen either while going to or coming back from a foreign country.

Or, if he is injured or has a medical issue whole in a foreign country, and then flies back, but passes away within three days of landing, that would count as yes.
Air force one or any other plane or type of vehicle counts.