At what temperature anomaly will global warming peak before the Earth starts cooling again?
Meteo
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2.2 degrees Celsius 8.3%In testa tra 27 esiti
2.2 degrees Celsius 8.3%Previsori
4
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto15 ott 24, 07:38 UTC22 ott 24, 21:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
This market will close when climate science comes to the conclusion that global warming has ended and the Earth has started cooling.
- It will resolve to the highest global surface temperature anomaly the Earth has experienced relative to 1850-1900 (in degrees Celsius, rounded to one decimal place).
- Resolution will likely occur far in the future and will be based on the most relevant scientific publications at that time.
