Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82.2%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
30 lug 26, 22:26 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
PolymarketWill the whole Senate vote to find Anthony Fauci in contempt of Congress before Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill an official mugshot of Anthony Fauci be published before his death?
Manifold MarketsWill Doors of Stone (Kingkiller Chronicles) be released before January 1st 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
KalshiHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Dr. Anthony Fauci is publicly and credibly confirmed to have passed away on or before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- It will resolve to NO if he remains alive on January 1, 2028 (UTC).
- The market will resolve based on announcements from official family representatives, or reports from major, reputable news organizations (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or The New York Times).
- Dr. Anthony Fauci (born December 24, 1940) is an American physician-scientist and immunologist who served as the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) from 1984 to 2022.
- He also served as the Chief Medical Advisor to the President from 2021 to 2022.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,6 Mln €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 984,1K €
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028?
- Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria