Adam Hamiltons winning margin in Johnson County in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
6.1 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 202612g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeHamilton wins the county by 15 to 19.99% 26.5%+6.1ptIn testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+6.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 minuti fa
21 ott 26, 22:52 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Adam Hamilton, the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Kansas, is running against Republican incumbent Roger Marshall.
- This market resolves based on Hamilton's margin of victory in Johnson County in the November 3, 2026 election.
- The margin is calculated as Adam Hamiltons vote percent in Johnson County, minus the second place candidates (likely Roger Marshall) vote share.
- If the named outcome, resolves Hamilton loses the county.
- For his margin, Associated Press results for Johnson county will be used, however if the AP result is very close to 2 buckets, resolution can wait for certified final results.
- Any results will be rounded to 2 decimal places to resolve this market.
