Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 87%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto15 nov 25, 08:39 UTC31 dic 26, 06:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the number of Tornado reports exceed 40 in the US during October 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
Will the total number of confirmed tornadoes in the United States during 2026 exceed 1,400?
- Context: The U.S. averages approximately 1,200-1,333 tornadoes annually.
- In 2024, there were 1,855 tornadoes (second-highest on record), and 2025 is tracking at 1,283 tornadoes as of October.
- This market resolves based on the final official tornado count from NOAA's National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center.
- Resolution: This market resolves YES if the final 2026 tornado count published by NOAA/SPC exceeds 1,400.
- Resolves NO if the count is 1,400 or below.