Probabilità implicita attuale
↑ $780 88.3%In testa tra 14 esiti
↑ $780 88.3%Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
9,2 €
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
9 ott 26, 22:05 UTC16 ott 26, 20:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 12?
PolymarketSPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 12?
PolymarketFirst to list tokenized stocks in the US?
PolymarketTokenized stocks available on Robinhood by which date?
PolymarketWill Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
↑ $810 · ↑ $800 · ↓ $745 · ↑ $795 · ↑ $805 · ↑ $780 · ↑ $785 · ↓ $775 · ↑ $790 · ↓ $755 · ↓ $750 · ↓ $770.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 12 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPY) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered.
- Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits.
- Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
- Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per ↑ $780 è del 89%. Lo scarto tra piattaforme è di circa 1 punto percentuale.
Riferimento CoinRithm ↑ $780 89% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
