LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attuale
James Talarico (D) 62.5%
James Talarico (D) 62.5%Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
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Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
14 ott 26, 12:33 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
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Regole
James Talarico (D) · Ken Paxton (R).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders.
- In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate.
- If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
3 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento tra piattaforme di CoinRithm per James Talarico (D) è del 63%. Lo scarto tra piattaforme è di circa 2 punti percentuali. Le piattaforme non concordano su quale esito sia in vantaggio.
Riferimento CoinRithm James Talarico (D) 63% · 3 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Texas Senate Election Winner · James Talarico (D) 63%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 Texas Senate Race · Democrat 63%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will win in the Texas Senate Race? · Democrats 65%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Texas Senate winner? · James Talarico 64%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Texas's Senate election winner · Democratic Party 62%
