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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Exchange
  3. S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily

S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily

ExchangeDailyETFEquities
LimitlessLimitlessChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC

Questo mercato si è risolto: No (98.7%)

Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 1.3%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

0 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

-

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato ieri

Obsoleto
16 giu 26, 20:0017 giu 26, 20:00

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Yes1.3%
No98.7%
0%25%50%75%100%16 giu17 giu17 giu
Esito24hProbabilità
Sì
Sì
1.3%
No
No
98.7%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

KalshiDisponibile anche su Kalshi

S&P 500 Daily Up/Down

S&P 500 Daily Up/Down

Chiusi

Risolto

No (98%)

Sì
Sì
2%
No
No
98%
40 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquidità
Volume totale312,3 €
Volume 24h312,3 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regole

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on June 17, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".


    The Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on June 16, 2026, was $750.32005.


    Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed.

  • Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.


    For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.

  • In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day.


    If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 17, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".


    For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.


    If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price.


    If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day.


    In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Manifold Markets

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68,2 €
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0 €
Sì: 44.7%LimitlessLIMITLESS
Energy Sector ETF (XLE) Up or Down - Daily

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0 €
Sì: 51.6%LimitlessLIMITLESS

Attivi in questi argomenti

EthereumETH$1,695.27-2.99%BitcoinBTC$62,602.80-2.96%SolanaSOL$68.34-4.84%DogecoinDOGE$0.0824-3.13%XRPXRP$1.13-4.49%BNBBNB$573.82-2.87%

Notizie Correlate

Morgan Stanley adds staking incentive to Ethereum, Solana ETFsCrypto NewsBitcoin ETFs Shed $82M as Fidelity FBTC Bucks the TrendBlockchain ReporterLive markets: Bitcoin and ether ETFs lost $111 million combined as rate-cut hopes diedCoindeskBlackRock lists BITA as Polymarket pegs BTC above $56K at 99.95%Blockchain.NewsBlackRock’s BITA debuts as Polymarket pegs 99.95% BTC above $52KBlockchain.NewsThe Litecoin ETF quietly launched. Is the altcoin ETF era here?Crypto News

Regole

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on June 17, 2026, is strictly higher than the Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) on the most recent prior trading day.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".


    The Close price for S&P 500 ETF (Pyth SPY/USD) captured on June 16, 2026, was $750.32005.


    Resolution source: Pyth SPY/USD price feed.

  • Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.


    For example, a Monday market would ordinarily compare Monday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that Friday was a market holiday.

  • In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day.


    If S&P 500 ETF (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 17, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down".


    For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.


    If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price.


    If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which SPY is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day.


    In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting SPY during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.