KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Trump (3+ times) (99%)
Prove di risoluzione limitate
CoinRithm può mostrare l'esito registrato, ma non tutti i campi di regolamento sono verificati dal provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Trump (3+ times) 99%In testa tra 28 esiti
Qualità del mercato
42 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
205,9K €
Liquidità
159,7K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto2 set 26, 23:303 set 26, 19:01
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Radical Left15%
America First1%
Iran (5+ times)81%
American Dream1%
Trump (3+ times)79%
Israel / Israeli1%
2028 / Campaign42%
Working Class / Middle Class24%
Election68%
Manufacturing43%
Fraud78%
Made in America / American Made9%
Tariff67%
Ceasefire39%
Terrorist / Terrorism74%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability55%
Healthcare50%
AI / Artificial Intelligence27%
Illegal Alien61%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline92%
Biden78%
Event does not qualify1%
Inflation67%
Economy / Economic94%
Ballroom22%
China / Chinese69%
Save America Act1%
Democrat92%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
Regole
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the press conference originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the press conference originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- JD Vance speaking in an official capacity.