KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 76%
Qualità del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
327,6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
22.0% / 29.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
2 set 26, 23:00 UTC3 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:United States Postal ServiceThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states a qualifying state submission was completed, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- State means one of the 50 states.
- A qualifying submission requires a state or its authorized designee to complete the transfer of federal ballot-mail data through the Federal Ballot Mail Portal.
- Account creation, portal familiarization, design communication, optional notice, intent, planning, and a failed or incomplete upload do NOT qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS??
- Kalshi quota No al 76% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS??
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.