KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
No 67%
No 67%Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
1,9K USD
Open interest bassoBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
8 ott 26, 02:00 UTC1 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiIowa Senate election: Josh Turek vote percent
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KalshiPolk County, Iowa: Josh Turek vote percent
KalshiIf Josh Turek is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Josh Turek win the Iowa general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRegole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
- The market compares the official certified election result to the specified poll or polling average. "Outperform" means the actual result exceeds the poll figure; "underperform" means it falls short. Only certified results count - not preliminary tallies or projections. If using a poll range, the midpoint is used for comparison. Margins of error are not considered; any difference counts as over/underperformance. For the purposes of this market, the Real Clear Polling average for the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa at 10 AM ET on November 3, 2026 will be used to determine relative performance. For a winning candidate, the margin of victory is calculated as the difference between the candidate's vote share and their closest competitor's share. For a losing candidate, the margin of victory is calculated as the difference between the candidate’s vote share and the vote share of the candidate immediately ahead of them. Positive margins indicate the candidate won, negative margins indicate they lost, and zero indicates a tie. The polling margin is calculated the same way from the RCP Average figures, so a deficit in the average is a negative margin. Vote shares are percentages of all votes cast for the office. Write-in votes are aggregated as a single candidate if not individually reported. Only certified results are used for resolution. Recounts that change the certified margin before expiration use the most recent certified results.
Regole per ogni esito
- No
- La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
- Yes
- La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
