KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 76%
Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
77.0% / 85.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 16:36 UTC28 mar 28, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
If John Thune has announced that they will run for U.S. Senate in 2028 before Mar 28, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will John Thune run for reelection??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 76% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will John Thune run for reelection??
- Will John Thune run for reelection? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 marzo 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will John Thune run for reelection??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If John Thune has announced that they will run for U.S. Senate in 2028 before Mar 28, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.