KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
People's Party · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
People's Party 44.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
People's Party 44.5%Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
281,8 €
Open interest
16,2K USD
Open interest medioBid / Ask
— / —
People's PartySpread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 42 minuti fa
15 lug 25, 14:00 UTC22 ago 27, 14:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · People's Party
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Spanish general election: 2nd place
KalshiSpanish general election: PSOE vote percent
KalshiHow many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the People's Party get in the next Spanish general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Spanish general election be held before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Ministry of Interior
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Clarification (10/06/26): For purposes of this Contract, seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
Regole per ogni esito
- People's Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Spanish Socialist Workers' Party
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Vox
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Vox, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sumar
- If the winner of the next Spanish general election is Sumar, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento tra piattaforme di CoinRithm per People's Party è del 79%. Lo scarto tra piattaforme è di circa 35 punti percentuali.
Riferimento CoinRithm People's Party 79% · 2 piattaforme · 35 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Spanish general election winner? · People's Party 44%
